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MLS Playoff Picture

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Updated 2026-10-25T03:38:07.675855+00:00 · ESPN public data

Source: ESPN public standings (records + ESPN playoff seeds). Guide only: not an official clinch or elimination; bubble lines and scenarios use simple wins/points pace and ignore complex tiebreakers.

MLS

Top 7 per conference go straight to Round One; 8–9 play the Wild Card match. Ranked by points (3 per win, 1 per draw). 34-game season.

Eastern Conference

  • 1Nashville SC21-7-3Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 32 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 70–79 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2New England Revolution17-4-10Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 17 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Inter Miami CF15-10-6Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 17 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Chicago Fire FC15-6-10Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 13 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 51–60 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Charlotte FC13-8-9In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 4 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    4 games left · range: 47–59 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Philadelphia Union13-7-11In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 2: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 2 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 8 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 46–55 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Orlando City SC12-6-13In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 6: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 6 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 1 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 4 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8FC Cincinnati11-9-11Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~1 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9Red Bull New York11-6-14Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~4 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Columbus Crew.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 39–48 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Columbus Crew11-5-15On the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~5 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 38–47 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Toronto FC8-12-11On the bubble · 3 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~7 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 36–45 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12New York City FC8-11-12On the bubble · 4 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~8 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 35–44 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13D.C. United7-12-12Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 33–42 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Atlanta United FC8-6-17Out · 9 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 30–39 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15CF Montréal6-7-18Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible points (34) is below the current 9-seed's total — out of reach.

    3 games left · range: 25–34 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

Western Conference

  • 1Vancouver Whitecaps16-7-8Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 16 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2FC Dallas15-9-7Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 15 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 54–63 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3St. Louis CITY SC14-9-8Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 12 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 51–60 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4San Jose Earthquakes13-9-9In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 48–57 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Houston Dynamo FC13-9-9In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 48–57 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6LAFC12-10-9In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 3: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 3 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 7 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 46–55 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Seattle Sounders FC11-9-10In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 7: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 7 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 2 more points in 4 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 3 points clear of the first team out.

    4 games left · range: 42–54 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Colorado Rapids12-6-13Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~2 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9LA Galaxy10-10-11Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~4 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of Real Salt Lake.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 40–49 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Real Salt Lake11-6-14On the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~5 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 39–48 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Minnesota United FC8-11-12Out · 5 points back

    To make it: Needs ~9 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 35–44 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Portland Timbers9-7-14Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Needs ~10 points in their final 4 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 4 makes ~44 points impossible.

    4 games left · range: 34–46 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13San Diego FC8-10-12Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Needs ~10 points in their final 4 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 4 makes ~44 points impossible.

    4 games left · range: 34–46 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Austin FC8-10-13Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 34–43 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Sporting Kansas City6-4-21Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible points (31) is below the current 9-seed's total — out of reach.

    3 games left · range: 22–31 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

How this is calculated

Seeds and records come straight from ESPN public standings. Remaining games = season length − games played. Floor = current wins (or points); ceiling = floor + every remaining game won. Eliminated (math) = ceiling is below the current last playoff spot. Clinched (math) = already ahead of the first team out's ceiling. Magic number = own wins + that chaser's losses needed to lock it. Official tiebreakers (head-to-head, division, conference record, etc.) are not fully resolved, so ties can go either way.

How we figure it: seeds come straight from ESPN's standings feed. "Bubble" and scenario lines are simple points/wins math (pace of the last playoff spot) and ignore tiebreakers, so treat them as a guide, not an official clinch/elimination. Refreshed with the site's ESPN data cadence.