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MLB Playoff Picture

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Updated 2026-10-25T03:38:07.675855+00:00 · ESPN public data

Source: ESPN public standings (records + ESPN playoff seeds). Guide only: not an official clinch or elimination; bubble lines and scenarios use simple wins/points pace and ignore complex tiebreakers.

MLB

6 teams per league (3 division winners + 3 wild cards). 162-game season.

American League

  • 1Tampa Bay Rays98-64Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 18 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 98–98 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Cleveland Guardians85-77Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 5 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 85–85 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 3Houston Astros81-81Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 81–81 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 4New York Yankees93-68Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more wins in 1 games (the current 6-seed pace is ~84 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 13 games clear of the first team out.

    1 games left · range: 93–94 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 5Boston Red Sox87-75Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 7 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 87–87 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 6Chicago White Sox84-78Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 4 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 84–84 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 7Texas Rangers80-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 80–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 8Baltimore Orioles79-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    1 games left · range: 79–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 9Toronto Blue Jays79-83Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (79) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 79–79 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 10Minnesota Twins77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 11Detroit Tigers76-86Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (76) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 76–76 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 12Seattle Mariners76-86Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (76) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 76–76 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 13Kansas City Royals69-93Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (69) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 69–69 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 14Athletics64-98Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (64) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 64–64 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 15Los Angeles Angels62-100Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (62) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 62–62 wins (floor–ceiling)

National League

  • 1Milwaukee Brewers103-59Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 17 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 103–103 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Los Angeles Dodgers100-62Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 14 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 100–100 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 3Atlanta Braves94-68Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 8 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 94–94 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 4San Diego Padres91-71Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 5 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 91–91 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 5Chicago Cubs89-73Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 3 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 89–89 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 6Philadelphia Phillies88-74Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 88–88 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 7Arizona Diamondbacks86-76Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (86) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 86–86 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 8Pittsburgh Pirates82-80Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (82) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 82–82 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 9Miami Marlins80-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 80–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 10St. Louis Cardinals77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 11Washington Nationals77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 12Cincinnati Reds75-87Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (75) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 75–75 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 13New York Mets74-88Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (74) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 74–74 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 14San Francisco Giants65-97Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (65) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 65–65 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 15Colorado Rockies58-104Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (58) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 58–58 wins (floor–ceiling)

How this is calculated

Seeds and records come straight from ESPN public standings. Remaining games = season length − games played. Floor = current wins (or points); ceiling = floor + every remaining game won. Eliminated (math) = ceiling is below the current last playoff spot. Clinched (math) = already ahead of the first team out's ceiling. Magic number = own wins + that chaser's losses needed to lock it. Official tiebreakers (head-to-head, division, conference record, etc.) are not fully resolved, so ties can go either way.

How we figure it: seeds come straight from ESPN's standings feed. "Bubble" and scenario lines are simple points/wins math (pace of the last playoff spot) and ignore tiebreakers, so treat them as a guide, not an official clinch/elimination. Refreshed with the site's ESPN data cadence.