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Playoff Picture

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Updated 2026-10-25T03:38:07.675855+00:00 · ESPN public data

Source: ESPN public standings (records + ESPN playoff seeds). Guide only: not an official clinch or elimination; bubble lines and scenarios use simple wins/points pace and ignore complex tiebreakers.

NFL

7 teams per conference make it (4 division winners + 3 wild cards). 17-game season.

American Football Conference

  • 1Kansas City Chiefs5-0In position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 11: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 11 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 6 more wins in 12 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    12 games left · range: 5–17 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Buffalo Bills5-1In position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 11: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 11 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 6 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 5–16 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Jacksonville Jaguars4-2In position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Cleveland Browns4-2In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Denver Broncos4-2In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Pittsburgh Steelers4-2In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Baltimore Ravens4-2In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Cincinnati Bengals totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~11 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Cincinnati Bengals passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Cincinnati Bengals3-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 12 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 5 more of 12 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    12 games left · range: 3–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9New England Patriots4-3On the bubble · 0 games back

    To make it: Needs ~7 wins in their final 10 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 10 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    10 games left · range: 4–14 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Las Vegas Raiders3-3On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 3–14 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11New York Jets2-4Out · 2 games back

    To make it: Needs ~9 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Indianapolis Colts2-4Out · 2 games back

    To make it: Needs ~9 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13Houston Texans2-4Out · 2 games back

    To make it: Needs ~9 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Tennessee Titans1-5Out · 3 games back

    To make it: Needs ~10 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 1–12 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Miami Dolphins0-5Out · 4 games back

    To make it: Needs ~11 wins in their final 12 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 12 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    12 games left · range: 0–12 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 16Los Angeles Chargers0-6Out · 4 games back

    To make it: Needs ~11 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~11 wins), and to stay ahead of Baltimore Ravens.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 11 makes ~11 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 0–11 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

National Football Conference

  • 1San Francisco 49ers6-0In position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 9: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 9 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 4 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 3 games clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 6–17 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Minnesota Vikings5-0In position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 10: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 10 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 5 more wins in 12 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    12 games left · range: 5–17 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Carolina Panthers3-2In position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 12 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 0 games clear of the first team out.

    12 games left · range: 3–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4New York Giants3-2-1In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 11.5: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 11.5 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 6.5 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 0.5 games clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 3.5–14.5 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Chicago Bears5-2In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 10: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 10 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 5 more wins in 10 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    10 games left · range: 5–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Green Bay Packers4-2In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 11: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 11 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 6 more wins in 11 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    11 games left · range: 4–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Detroit Lions3-2In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 12: any combination of wins by them + losses by Seattle Seahawks totaling 12 locks a top-7 spot. Keep pace: about 7 more wins in 12 games (the current 7-seed pace is ~10 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Seattle Seahawks passes them — they're 0 games clear of the first team out.

    12 games left · range: 3–15 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Seattle Seahawks3-3On the bubble · 0 games back

    To make it: Needs ~7 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 5 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 3–14 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9Atlanta Falcons2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10New Orleans Saints2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Philadelphia Eagles2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Dallas Cowboys2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13Arizona Cardinals2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Los Angeles Rams2-4On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: Needs ~8 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 4 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 2–13 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Washington Commanders1-4-1Out · 1.5 games back

    To make it: Needs ~8.5 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 1.5–12.5 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 16Tampa Bay Buccaneers1-5Out · 2 games back

    To make it: Needs ~9 wins in their final 11 games to reach the current 7-seed pace (~10 wins), and to stay ahead of Detroit Lions.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 11 makes ~10 wins impossible.

    11 games left · range: 1–12 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

NBA

Seeds 1–6 are in; 7–10 go to the play-in. 82-game season.

Eastern Conference

  • 1Philadelphia 76ers3-0In position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 78: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 78 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 24 more wins in 79 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 3 games clear of the first team out.

    79 games left · range: 3–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Detroit Pistons2-0In position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Toronto Raptors2-0In position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Atlanta Hawks2-1In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 79 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    79 games left · range: 2–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Charlotte Hornets2-1In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 79 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    79 games left · range: 2–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Washington Wizards2-1In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by New York Knicks totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 79 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Knicks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    79 games left · range: 2–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Boston Celtics1-1Play-in · No. 7 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~26 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 1–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Cleveland Cavaliers1-1Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~26 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 1–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9Indiana Pacers1-1Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~26 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 1–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Chicago Bulls1-2Play-in · No. 10 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~26 wins in their final 79 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of New York Knicks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 79 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    79 games left · range: 1–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11New York Knicks0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Brooklyn Nets0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13Orlando Magic0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Milwaukee Bucks0-3On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~27 wins in their final 79 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 53 more of 79 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    79 games left · range: 0–79 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Miami Heat0-3On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Washington Wizards (2-1). Needs ~27 wins in their final 79 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Chicago Bulls.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 53 more of 79 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    79 games left · range: 0–79 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

Western Conference

  • 1Houston Rockets3-0In position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 79: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 79 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 24 more wins in 79 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 3 games clear of the first team out.

    79 games left · range: 3–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Minnesota Timberwolves2-0In position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 80: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 80 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Portland Trail Blazers2-0In position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 80: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 80 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Los Angeles Lakers2-0In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 80: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 80 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Oklahoma City Thunder2-0In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 80: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 80 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Memphis Grizzlies2-0In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 80: any combination of wins by them + losses by Denver Nuggets totaling 80 locks a top-10 spot. Keep pace: about 25 more wins in 80 games (the current 10-seed pace is ~27 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Denver Nuggets passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    80 games left · range: 2–82 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7LA Clippers1-1Play-in · No. 7 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~26 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 1–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Utah Jazz1-1Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~26 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 1–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9San Antonio Spurs1-2Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~26 wins in their final 79 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 79 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    79 games left · range: 1–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Dallas Mavericks1-2Play-in · No. 10 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~26 wins in their final 79 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Denver Nuggets.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 79 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    79 games left · range: 1–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Denver Nuggets0-1On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~27 wins in their final 81 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 81 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    81 games left · range: 0–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Phoenix Suns0-1On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~27 wins in their final 81 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 55 more of 81 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    81 games left · range: 0–81 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13New Orleans Pelicans0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Golden State Warriors0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Sacramento Kings0-2On the bubble · 1 game back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 6 Memphis Grizzlies (2-0). Needs ~27 wins in their final 80 games to reach the current 10-seed pace (~27 wins), and to stay ahead of Dallas Mavericks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 54 more of 80 makes ~27 wins impossible.

    80 games left · range: 0–80 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

MLB

6 teams per league (3 division winners + 3 wild cards). 162-game season.

American League

  • 1Tampa Bay Rays98-64Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 18 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 98–98 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Cleveland Guardians85-77Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 5 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 85–85 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 3Houston Astros81-81Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 1 game clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 81–81 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 4New York Yankees93-68Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more wins in 1 games (the current 6-seed pace is ~84 wins).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 13 games clear of the first team out.

    1 games left · range: 93–94 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 5Boston Red Sox87-75Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 7 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 87–87 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 6Chicago White Sox84-78Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Texas Rangers passes them — they're 4 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 84–84 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 7Texas Rangers80-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 80–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 8Baltimore Orioles79-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    1 games left · range: 79–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 9Toronto Blue Jays79-83Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (79) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 79–79 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 10Minnesota Twins77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 11Detroit Tigers76-86Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (76) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 76–76 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 12Seattle Mariners76-86Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (76) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 76–76 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 13Kansas City Royals69-93Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (69) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 69–69 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 14Athletics64-98Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (64) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 64–64 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 15Los Angeles Angels62-100Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (62) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 62–62 wins (floor–ceiling)

National League

  • 1Milwaukee Brewers103-59Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 17 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 103–103 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Los Angeles Dodgers100-62Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 14 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 100–100 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 3Atlanta Braves94-68Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 8 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 94–94 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 4San Diego Padres91-71Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 5 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 91–91 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 5Chicago Cubs89-73Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 3 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 89–89 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 6Philadelphia Phillies88-74Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Arizona Diamondbacks passes them — they're 2 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 88–88 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 7Arizona Diamondbacks86-76Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (86) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 86–86 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 8Pittsburgh Pirates82-80Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (82) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 82–82 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 9Miami Marlins80-82Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (80) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 80–80 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 10St. Louis Cardinals77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 11Washington Nationals77-85Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (77) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 77–77 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 12Cincinnati Reds75-87Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (75) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 75–75 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 13New York Mets74-88Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (74) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 74–74 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 14San Francisco Giants65-97Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (65) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 65–65 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 15Colorado Rockies58-104Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (58) is below the current 6-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 58–58 wins (floor–ceiling)

NHL

8 teams per conference (top 3 in each division + 2 wild cards). Ranked by points (2 per win, 1 per OT/SO loss). 82-game season.

Eastern Conference

  • 1Carolina Hurricanes9-2-2, 20 PTSIn position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 137: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 137 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 78 more points in 69 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 8 points clear of the first team out.

    69 games left · range: 20–158 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Boston Bruins9-2-1, 19 PTSIn position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 138: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 138 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 79 more points in 70 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 7 points clear of the first team out.

    70 games left · range: 19–159 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Ottawa Senators8-4-0, 16 PTSIn position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 141: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 141 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 82 more points in 70 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 4 points clear of the first team out.

    70 games left · range: 16–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Toronto Maple Leafs7-4-2, 16 PTSIn position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 141: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 141 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 82 more points in 69 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 4 points clear of the first team out.

    69 games left · range: 16–154 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5New York Rangers7-5-1, 15 PTSIn position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 142: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 142 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 83 more points in 69 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 3 points clear of the first team out.

    69 games left · range: 15–153 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Tampa Bay Lightning7-3-0, 14 PTSIn position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 143: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 143 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 84 more points in 72 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 2 points clear of the first team out.

    72 games left · range: 14–158 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7New Jersey Devils7-4-0, 14 PTSIn position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 143: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 143 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 84 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 2 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 14–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Washington Capitals6-4-0, 12 PTSIn position · No. 8 seed

    To make it: Magic number 145: any combination of points by them + points dropped by New York Islanders totaling 145 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 86 more points in 72 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~98 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if New York Islanders passes them — they're 0 points clear of the first team out.

    72 games left · range: 12–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9New York Islanders5-3-2, 12 PTSOn the bubble · 0 points back

    To make it: Needs ~86 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 30 more of 72 makes ~98 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 12–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Montreal Canadiens5-3-2, 12 PTSOn the bubble · 0 points back

    To make it: Needs ~86 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 30 more of 72 makes ~98 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 12–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Florida Panthers5-4-2, 12 PTSOn the bubble · 0 points back

    To make it: Needs ~86 points in their final 71 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 29 more of 71 makes ~98 points impossible.

    71 games left · range: 12–154 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Detroit Red Wings4-3-3, 11 PTSOn the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: Needs ~87 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 29 more of 72 makes ~98 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 11–155 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13Buffalo Sabres4-4-3, 11 PTSOn the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: Needs ~87 points in their final 71 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 28 more of 71 makes ~98 points impossible.

    71 games left · range: 11–153 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Pittsburgh Penguins5-6-1, 11 PTSOn the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: Needs ~87 points in their final 70 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 27 more of 70 makes ~98 points impossible.

    70 games left · range: 11–151 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Philadelphia Flyers3-7-3, 9 PTSOn the bubble · 3 points back

    To make it: Needs ~89 points in their final 69 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 25 more of 69 makes ~98 points impossible.

    69 games left · range: 9–147 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 16Columbus Blue Jackets4-5-0, 8 PTSOn the bubble · 4 points back

    To make it: Needs ~90 points in their final 73 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~98 points), and to stay ahead of Washington Capitals.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 29 more of 73 makes ~98 points impossible.

    73 games left · range: 8–154 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

Western Conference

  • 1Edmonton Oilers8-2-1, 17 PTSIn position · No. 1 seed

    To make it: Magic number 139: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 139 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 72 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 6 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 17–159 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2Vegas Golden Knights8-4-1, 17 PTSIn position · No. 2 seed

    To make it: Magic number 139: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 139 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 72 more points in 69 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 6 points clear of the first team out.

    69 games left · range: 17–155 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Seattle Kraken7-3-1, 15 PTSIn position · No. 3 seed

    To make it: Magic number 141: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 141 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 74 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 4 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 15–157 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Utah Mammoth7-4-0, 14 PTSIn position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 142: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 142 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 75 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 3 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 14–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Minnesota Wild6-3-2, 14 PTSIn position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 142: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 142 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 75 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 3 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 14–156 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Dallas Stars6-3-1, 13 PTSIn position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 143: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 143 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 76 more points in 72 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 2 points clear of the first team out.

    72 games left · range: 13–157 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Colorado Avalanche6-4-1, 13 PTSIn position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 143: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 143 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 76 more points in 71 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 2 points clear of the first team out.

    71 games left · range: 13–155 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8San Jose Sharks6-5-1, 13 PTSIn position · No. 8 seed

    To make it: Magic number 143: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Winnipeg Jets totaling 143 locks a top-8 spot. Keep pace: about 76 more points in 70 games (the current 8-seed pace is ~89 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Winnipeg Jets passes them — they're 2 points clear of the first team out.

    70 games left · range: 13–153 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9Winnipeg Jets4-3-3, 11 PTSOn the bubble · 2 points back

    To make it: Needs ~78 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 34 more of 72 makes ~89 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 11–155 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10St. Louis Blues5-5-1, 11 PTSOn the bubble · 2 points back

    To make it: Needs ~78 points in their final 71 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 33 more of 71 makes ~89 points impossible.

    71 games left · range: 11–153 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Nashville Predators3-3-4, 10 PTSOn the bubble · 3 points back

    To make it: Needs ~79 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 33 more of 72 makes ~89 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 10–154 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Anaheim Ducks5-6-0, 10 PTSOn the bubble · 3 points back

    To make it: Needs ~79 points in their final 71 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 32 more of 71 makes ~89 points impossible.

    71 games left · range: 10–152 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13Calgary Flames3-6-0, 6 PTSOut · 7 points back

    To make it: Needs ~83 points in their final 73 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 32 more of 73 makes ~89 points impossible.

    73 games left · range: 6–152 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Los Angeles Kings2-5-2, 6 PTSOut · 7 points back

    To make it: Needs ~83 points in their final 73 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 32 more of 73 makes ~89 points impossible.

    73 games left · range: 6–152 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Chicago Blackhawks3-7-0, 6 PTSOut · 7 points back

    To make it: Needs ~83 points in their final 72 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 31 more of 72 makes ~89 points impossible.

    72 games left · range: 6–150 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 16Vancouver Canucks2-9-1, 5 PTSOut · 8 points back

    To make it: Needs ~84 points in their final 70 games to reach the current 8-seed pace (~89 points), and to stay ahead of San Jose Sharks.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 29 more of 70 makes ~89 points impossible.

    70 games left · range: 5–145 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

MLS

Top 7 per conference go straight to Round One; 8–9 play the Wild Card match. Ranked by points (3 per win, 1 per draw). 34-game season.

Eastern Conference

  • 1Nashville SC21-7-3Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 32 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 70–79 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2New England Revolution17-4-10Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 17 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Inter Miami CF15-10-6Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 17 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4Chicago Fire FC15-6-10Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 13 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 51–60 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Charlotte FC13-8-9In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 4 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    4 games left · range: 47–59 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6Philadelphia Union13-7-11In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 2: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 2 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 8 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 46–55 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Orlando City SC12-6-13In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 6: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Columbus Crew totaling 6 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 1 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~43 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Columbus Crew passes them — they're 4 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8FC Cincinnati11-9-11Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~1 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9Red Bull New York11-6-14Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~4 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Columbus Crew.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 39–48 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Columbus Crew11-5-15On the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~5 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 38–47 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Toronto FC8-12-11On the bubble · 3 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~7 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 36–45 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12New York City FC8-11-12On the bubble · 4 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Orlando City SC (12-6-13). Needs ~8 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~43 points), and to stay ahead of Red Bull New York.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 35–44 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13D.C. United7-12-12Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 33–42 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Atlanta United FC8-6-17Out · 9 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~43 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 30–39 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15CF Montréal6-7-18Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible points (34) is below the current 9-seed's total — out of reach.

    3 games left · range: 25–34 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

Western Conference

  • 1Vancouver Whitecaps16-7-8Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 16 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 55–64 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 2FC Dallas15-9-7Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 15 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 54–63 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3St. Louis CITY SC14-9-8Clinched (math)

    To make it: Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 12 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 51–60 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 4San Jose Earthquakes13-9-9In position · No. 4 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 48–57 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Houston Dynamo FC13-9-9In position · No. 5 seed

    To make it: Magic number 1: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 1 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 9 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 48–57 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 6LAFC12-10-9In position · No. 6 seed

    To make it: Magic number 3: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 3 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 0 more points in 3 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 7 points clear of the first team out.

    3 games left · range: 46–55 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 7Seattle Sounders FC11-9-10In position · No. 7 seed

    To make it: Magic number 7: any combination of points by them + points dropped by Real Salt Lake totaling 7 locks a top-9 spot. Keep pace: about 2 more points in 4 games (the current 9-seed pace is ~44 points).

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Real Salt Lake passes them — they're 3 points clear of the first team out.

    4 games left · range: 42–54 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 8Colorado Rapids12-6-13Play-in · No. 8 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~2 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 3 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 42–51 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 9LA Galaxy10-10-11Play-in · No. 9 seed

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~4 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of Real Salt Lake.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 40–49 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 10Real Salt Lake11-6-14On the bubble · 1 points back

    To make it: In the play-in / wild-card round. To skip it, pass No. 7 Seattle Sounders FC (11-9-10). Needs ~5 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 2 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 39–48 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 11Minnesota United FC8-11-12Out · 5 points back

    To make it: Needs ~9 points in their final 3 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 35–44 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 12Portland Timbers9-7-14Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Needs ~10 points in their final 4 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 4 makes ~44 points impossible.

    4 games left · range: 34–46 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 13San Diego FC8-10-12Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Needs ~10 points in their final 4 games to reach the current 9-seed pace (~44 points), and to stay ahead of LA Galaxy.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 4 makes ~44 points impossible.

    4 games left · range: 34–46 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 14Austin FC8-10-13Out · 6 points back

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Every loss shrinks the margin: losing 1 more of 3 makes ~44 points impossible.

    3 games left · range: 34–43 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 15Sporting Kansas City6-4-21Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible points (31) is below the current 9-seed's total — out of reach.

    3 games left · range: 22–31 points (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

WNBA

Top 8 overall make it, regardless of conference. 44-game season. Regular season is over — this is the final field.

League-wide

  • 1Minnesota Lynx33-11Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 16 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 33–33 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 2Golden State Valkyries32-12Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 15 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 32–32 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 3Las Vegas Aces31-13Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 14 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 31–31 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 4Atlanta Dream30-14Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 13 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 30–30 wins (floor–ceiling) · Schedule & channels →

  • 5Washington Mystics28-16Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 11 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 28–28 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 6Indiana Fever28-16Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 11 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 28–28 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 7Dallas Wings27-17Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 10 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 27–27 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 8New York Liberty26-18Clinched (math)

    To make it: Regular season complete — qualified.

    What leaves them out: Falls out if Portland Fire passes them — they're 9 games clear of the first team out.

    0 games left · range: 26–26 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 9Portland Fire17-27Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (17) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 17–17 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 10Chicago Sky16-28Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (16) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 16–16 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 11Los Angeles Sparks16-28Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (16) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 16–16 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 12Phoenix Mercury16-28Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (16) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 16–16 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 13Toronto Tempo11-33Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (11) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 11–11 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 14Connecticut Sun11-33Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (11) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 11–11 wins (floor–ceiling)

  • 15Seattle Storm8-36Eliminated (math)

    To make it: Out of reach on wins alone.

    What leaves them out: Max possible wins (8) is below the current 8-seed's total — out of reach.

    0 games left · range: 8–8 wins (floor–ceiling)

How this is calculated

Seeds and records come straight from ESPN public standings. Remaining games = season length − games played. Floor = current wins (or points); ceiling = floor + every remaining game won. Eliminated (math) = ceiling is below the current last playoff spot. Clinched (math) = already ahead of the first team out's ceiling. Magic number = own wins + that chaser's losses needed to lock it. Official tiebreakers (head-to-head, division, conference record, etc.) are not fully resolved, so ties can go either way.

How we figure it: seeds come straight from ESPN's standings feed. "Bubble" and scenario lines are simple points/wins math (pace of the last playoff spot) and ignore tiebreakers, so treat them as a guide, not an official clinch/elimination. Refreshed with the site's ESPN data cadence.